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Donald Trump has been a disaster for rural America | Steven Greenhouse
The Guardian

Donald Trump has been a disaster for rural America | Steven Greenhouse

In-depth Global Affairs perspective from Steven Greenhouse

Source: THE GUARDIAN

Steven GreenhouseOctober 26, 20265 min read
Global & OpinionGlobal AffairsEditorial Analysis
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Donald Trump’s policies have been a disaster for the nation’s farmers, so much so that a near electoral miracle may soon happen: Kansas, one of the deepest red, most rural states, may elect its first Democratic senator in nearly a century .

Since Trump won farm country handily in 2024, many rural voters in Kansas, Iowa and elsewhere have soured on him because the price of diesel fuel, a key input for farming, has soared by nearly 70%, because farm bankruptcies have surged and because Trump’s trade wars have significantly reduced agricultural exports.

Rural voters are so upset with Trump that polls show that Republican Senate candidates stand a good chance of losing in Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska and Texas, even though Trump won those rural states by 13 percentage points or more in 2024. No wonder Trump is hopscotching madly across Kansas, Iowa, and other states in the midterm campaign’s final weeks.

Read more No one is saying that Trump deliberately hurt farmers, but when he plunged the US into the Iran war and his many trade wars, he showed little concern about what those decisions might mean for rural America. It was nearly inevitable that Trump’s moves would batter farmers – by pushing down soybean and other farm exports and by pushing up the price of fuel, fertilizer and farm equipment. Not only that, Trump’s proudest legislative achievement, his “big, beautiful bill”, further hammered farm country with its major cuts to food assistance and its $1tn in Medicaid cuts , which will cause an estimated 1.8 million rural Americans to lose health insurance.

“ He has sold out rural America with his policies,” said Jon Tester, a third-generation Montana farmer and former US senator.

Even the Cato Institute, a Republican-friendly, conservative thinktank, slammed Trump over what he has done to farmers. A Cato commentary stated that while Trump calls this a “golden age” for farmers, the fact is that Trump’s “ tariffs are inflicting serious damage” on farmers, increasing their input prices and causing their exports to decline by billions of dollars .

This helps explain why farm bankruptcies have jumped by 85% over two years ago.

Indeed, many rural voters have turned against Trump – while nearly two-thirds backed him in 2024, now less than half, 49%, of rural voters say they support GOP candidates this fall, according to a Fox News poll.

At a recent news conference in Washington, John Hansen, president of the Nebraska Farmers Union, sought to convey the pain and anger many farmers feel. “Because of the misuse of tariffs, record high agricultural input costs, soaring fertilizer costs”, and “high interest rates”, Hansen said, farmers “are facing the worst economic and financial crisis since the farm crisis of the 1980s”, when many farms went under because of sky-high interest rates.

Analysis & Critical Implications

In a direct slap at Trump, Hansen added: “Just when farmers need to expand markets for their products, the president seems to be at war with our nation’s top three trading partners: Mexico, Canada and China. When trade wars break out, farmer noses always bleed first and worst and longest.”

Many rural voters backed Trump in 2024 because he promised to cut prices, including energy prices, and vowed not to plunge the US into unnecessary, expensive wars overseas. But now many feel betrayed because Trump began an unnecessary, expensive war against Iran that caused diesel fuel – which farmers rely on for their tractors and combines – to soar to a record $6.52 a gallon in late September, before declining somewhat (to $6.32). This price spike – diesel averaged $3.75 a gallon before the war – cost most farmers thousands of extra dollars when many were barely breaking even.

“Compared to last year, our fuel bill is $50,000 higher ,” Vance Ehmke, a Kansas farmer, told the Hastings (Nebraska) Tribune, while “fertilizer, that’s going to be at least another $20,000 or $40,000 increase. That’s all due to Trump and his war in Iran. We are madder than hell about it.

“Iwant to tell you that I am a Republican, and I’m pissed.”

Last month, the American Farm Bureau Federation ran a bad news article saying “ the record-high input cost environment ”, meaning high diesel and fertilizer prices, means that “no major row crop”, such as soybeans or corn, “is projected to clear break-even” this year”.

In Texas, Kansas, Nebraska and other farm states, ranchers are fuming that Trump announced plans to import roughly 660m lb of tariff-free beef with the aim of cutting beef prices by 25% – one of the many ways Trump’s tariffs angered consumers was by pushing up beef prices. The National Cattlemen’s Beef Association voiced dismay about Trump’s beef imports, saying the move would undercut the struggling industry’s stability.

The North Carolina farmer Matt Bell had a warning for Republicans. Bell, who voted for Trump in 2024, told CBS News : “Everything we touch has gone up. We’re in a position now where we’re mad and ready to be heard.”

With rural America in deep pain, Bell and many other farmers who traditionally backed Republicans want to send a message to the party that controls the White House, Senate and House. Many are angry that GOP lawmakers haven’t sought to protect farmers by fighting against Trump’s tariffs and war against Iran.

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Published by The Guardian

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